How the United Kingdom and France elections work and who will win.

Despite Justice Barrett siding with the majority on the presidential immunity case, she dissented on a section of the ruling. 538 has more.

It's very unlikely Trump will stand trial before the 2024 presidential election: 538

Trump looks to have gained at least some ground, but how much the polls end up moving remains to be seen.

Why Trump's vice presidential pick might not matter as much as you think.

Poll results from after the first 2024 presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakich join the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the first presidential debate.

Senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakich reacts to President Joe Biden’s performance at the first debate.

538's Galen Druke is joined by senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik to talk about the first 2024 presidential debate.

A new 538/Ipsos poll conducted before the debate shows where Biden and Trump stand.

From the earliest moments of the night, President Joe Biden's biggest political weakness -- his age and perceived frailty -- became a clear liability on the debate stage.

Ahead of the first presidential debate on Thursday, 538 looks at the chances of each candidate winning the election this fall.

Will the June 27 presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden matter in the polls?

Polls are open in Colorado, New York, and Utah on Tuesday.

The debate Thursday between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump is the first not run by the Commission on Presidential Debates since 1988.

The 538 Politics podcast discusses whether President Joe Biden can increase his support until election night.

President Biden and former President Donald Trump will go head-to-head on Thursday.

Tuesday's elections include notable U.S. House primary races in New York, Colorado and Utah.

Experts talk about dissatisfaction among voters around the world.

Experts explain how trends of discontent around the world could help explain the outcome for the 2024 U.S. presidential election. 

Discontent among voters has been documented in Europe and the United States. Does this trend also exist in countries with upcoming elections?

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. came up short of qualifying for the first general election debate.

Why Americans feel bad about the economy even though economic data is strong.

538's polling column examines Americans' opinion on access to the abortion medication mifepristone, the economy and threats to democracy, Pride month and polling itself.

Tuesday's elections include notable U.S. House primary races in Virginia and Oklahoma.

Former President Donald Trump has a slight edge over President Joe Biden.

It's not clear that voters will fault the president for his son's wrongdoing.

Announcing 538's 2024 presidential election forecast model.

What the polls say about 2024 abortion-rights ballot measures in Florida, Arizona, Nevada and South Dakota.

National polling conducted immediately after Trump's guilty verdict reflects a slight swing toward Biden.

538’s Galen Druke breaks down recent polling for the 2024 presidential election following former President Donald Trump’s conviction.

Republicans continue to embrace election denialism by pushing efforts to ban noncitizens from voting (which is already illegal).

With the announcement that the U.K. will hold general elections on July 4, the electoral picture for the Conservative Party is currently negative and they have six weeks to try to change it.

Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley said on Wednesday that she is going to vote for former President Donald Trump this fall, but what will her supporters do?

Will the outcome of Trump's hush money trial matter to voters in November?

Senate Democrats are polling better than President Joe Biden. What does that mean for 2024?

Nikki Haley has endorsed Donald Trump, but which Haley primary voters will break with the Republican Party in the 2024 general election?

In the third episode of our mini-series "Campaign Throwback," we explore whether Americans really choose their presidents based on personal relatability.

538 previews the May 21 primaries in Georgia, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky.

538 partnered with PerryUndem to conduct focus groups with undecided swing-state voters and delve deeper into how they're thinking about the state of our democracy.

Polls suggest Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will be pivotal states for Biden's chances of winning the Electoral College.

In the second episode of our miniseries "Campaign Throwback," we get to the bottom of how suburban women became a political obsession.

The 538 crew dive into Tuesday's Democratic primary election in Maryland.

538 breaks down the key primaries in Maryland, Nebraska and West Virginia.

538 Senior Elections Analyst Nathaniel Rakich discusses what can be done to consolidate the Democratic vote behind President Joe Biden.

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks why the end of the primaries, weeks of Biden campaigning and millions spent on advertising have changed the polls so little.

The 538 crew plays a game of “Buy, Sell, Hold” and puts their wisdom to the test.

The betting markets place the likelihood of Trump winning the 2024 election at 47% — but does 538 agree?

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we play a game of “Buy, Sell, Hold” and look at where the betting markets place the likelihood of certain events this election season.

As a rural dog owner, I know Kristi Noem's story is far from normal.